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April 30, 2008

Do Stock Prices Rise More Often Than They Fall?

" The Subprime mortgage crisis that began in August of 2007-and a series of other financial sector events that battered stocks for months - will likely be remembered as a very turbulent time for investors. But, there is more than a century of proof that despite periodic downturns in stock prices, ....."

To view the he rest of this article from Oppenheimer, please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/blog/Stocks_Oppenheimer.pdf

April 24, 2008

Why do Houses Cost So Much?

This is an article from the Seattle Times discussing one of the reasons why housing prices are so high. To see this article, please click on the link below:

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004181704_eicher14.html

April 23, 2008

Tax Freedom Day® today

America Will Work Three Days Less to Pay Taxes in 2008 than in 2007; Stimulus Rebates Push Date of Celebration Up

Tax Freedom Day® will fall on April 23 in 2008, according to the Tax Foundation's annual calculation using the latest government data on income and taxes. That’s three days earlier than in 2007. Stimulus rebates and a projection of slow growth in 2008 are the principal reasons for the earlier celebration.


According to the latest report “Americans will work longer to pay for government (113 days) than they will for food, clothing and housing combined (108 days). In fact, Americans will work longer to afford federal taxes alone (74 days) than they will to afford housing (60 days). As a group, Americans will also work longer to pay state and local taxes than they will to pay for food.” 


Tax Freedom Day® came as soon as April 17th under Ronald Reagan, moved all the way back to May 3rd in President Clinton’s final year, and improved to a recent best of April 16th in 2003 before giving back a number of work days.  Residents of Washington and California will have to wait for their day of freedom as both states are in the five highest taxed in the nation, partially because of the high incomes earned.  Washington residents will be free on April 29th, and California residents on April 30th.   Remember also that lower income Americans individually celebrate an earlier Tax Freedom Day ® than higher income Americans, which can easily find they are working to pay taxes well into May.

You can read the full report and see the methodology used here http://www.taxfoundation.org/files/sr160.pdf .

April 22, 2008

Our Green Roots

So what can a firm that helps people with their finances do to celebrate Earth Day?  Actually, we ask ourselves this question all year around and what follows is what we have come up with.  Maybe it will encourage you as you think through your choices.  Liz and I are avid backpackers and students of the natural world, as are a number of people here in the firm, so environmental issues are very important to us.

Apart from the politically divisive debates about creating new environmental laws, reducing waste has always made sense and considering the total long term cost of a decision, including the waste and energy required is simple common sense.   We are continually focusing people on the long term impact of their life decisions, and environmental concerns are part of any long term cost and benefit structure.  Like ignoring health care costs or lower risk tolerances as we age, not calculating in environmental costs is a big mistake.

We are very fortunate in that we don’t produce any physical products so our pollution output is tiny compared to most businesses.  No factories, no cups, no shopping bags, no products in the refuse bins, no oil and no gas.  I wish we could stop the copious amounts of annual reports and proxies we all get and we will continue to push for that, but we do not control that process.  We do however consume electricity to run our computers so we look to buy Energy Star rated machines and either power them down or leave them in sleep state depending upon which is recommended for energy efficiency.   We use e-documents where possible and when we do print documents and plans all are printed two sided when possible.  We shred and recycle all possible paper and carry home other recyclables that our building does not handle. 

The most unusual thing we do to help the environment is that every single person in the office carpools or takes the bus.  As a firm, for the past five years or so we have bought unlimited King County Transit bus passes for all employees and we have 100% participation in bus riding or carpools and have for a few years.  We also donate money regularly to organizations including the Nature Conservancy and the Wilderness Awareness School. 

These are small things really, in the scope of our work, but it truly is small decisions like these that add up to big results over time.   That’s the power of compound interest that we are always teaching.  C.S. Lewis, the Oxford don, put these concepts together brilliantly when he wrote,

“Good and evil both increase at compound interest. That is why the little 
decisions you and I make every
day are of such infinite importance.The
smallest good act today is the capture of a strategic point from
which,
a few months later, you may be able to go on to victories you never
dreamed
of”.  

~ from Mere Christianity

Cimate Change: Special Report

"Earth Day marks the anniversary of the birth of the modern environmental movement. This movement can cite some important successes. Environmental efforts established many years ago are paying off with ....... "

To see the rest of this LPL article on how how climate changes affect investors, please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/blog/LPL_EarthDay.pdf

April 18, 2008

Northwesterners Using Less Gas

"Residents of Washington, Oregon, and Idaho cut per capita gasoline consumption by 11 percent from 1999 to 2007, or nearly a gallon a week on average, according to a new report by Sightline Institute, a sustainability think tank".

To see the rest of this Puget Sound Business Journal article, please click on the link below:

http://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/stories/2008/04/14/daily27.html?f=et80&ana=e_du

April 17, 2008

FDIC Insurance up to $2 million

LPL Insured Cash Account Program - FDIC insurance up to $2 million for joint account holders 


With the recent financial debacle, you may be asking “Is my “safe” money safe?” Where do you save or invest money for liquidity and security?  Many people would reply they use savings accounts, money market accounts and certificate of deposit (CDs) for these purposes.  But is the money truly safe? 

In the past couple years we have seen financial insolvency (i.e. failure) in some firms and major headline stories of recognizable financial firms suffering.  What happens if you have money at a place that fails?
One of the most important aspects to evaluate is whether your money has FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) coverage.  Generally FDIC coverage only protects you up to $100,000 in any one bank or $200,000 for a joint account.  Learn more about FDIC at:
 
http://www.fdic.gov/deposit/deposits/insuringdeposits/index.html

The LPL Insured Cash Account Program offers you a high level of FDIC insurance coverage by spreading your cash deposits over a network of well-capitalized banks (FDIC insurance up to $1 million for single account holders and $2 million for joint account holders).  Let us know if we can assist you with your money.  Attached is more information about the Insured Cash Account.

Please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/blog/Insured_Cash_Account_Program.pdf

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult me prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Copyright © 2008 MWBoone and Associates All Rights Reserved. MWBoone and Associates is a Registered Investment Advisor Investment Management services are not available through this web site but are described at www.mwboone.com. Securities offered through LPL Financial Member FINRA/SIPC.

April 16, 2008

MWBoone & Associates' Aimée Huff, CFP, CFA on King 5 News

On Friday March 14, 2008, King5 News did a piece on the current market situation and interviewed MWBoone's & Associates own Aimée Huff, CFP, CFA for the piece. Please click on the link below to see the full clip:

http://www.king5.com/video/index.html?nvid=227257


These opinions are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice for any individual. To determine what may be appropriate for you, consult your financial professional prior to investing .

April 15, 2008

LPL's Weekly Commentary

LPL's John Canally has put out his weekly economic update. To see this article, please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/blog/WeeklyCommentary_4_14_08.pdf

April 11, 2008

Lincoln Anderson's Weekly Update

Well, one of my least favorite days of the year – April 15 – is approaching. So if I sound a little grumpy, it’s because of our looming tax deadline, poor equity performance over the first quarter, market volatility, high oil prices and further revelations of egregious behavior by some big banks and mortgage originators.  The S&P 500 stock price index fell 9.9% over the first quarter, with all 10 sectors down.  Employment also fell over the quarter, with payroll employment down 232,000 and the unemployment rate up slightly to 5.1%.  Does this data signal the onset of a recession?  Possibly, but if so, I continue to expect it will be mild.  The Federal Reserve has been very aggressive with interest rate cuts and really big balance sheet operations to take risk off bank and primary dealer balance sheets.

I continue to think the year will turn out better for the economy and financial markets than the scary headlines suggest.  I have heard a large number of what I consider to be silly comments and forecasts.  No, I do not think we are returning to the Great Depression.  No, I do not think this is the worst economic crisis since then.  And no, I do not think that the last nine years constitute the “lost decade”.

Yes, the S&P 500 stock price index has only recovered to Q1 1999 levels.  However, behind the still obviously lagging stock performance, we have seen the Price/Operating Earnings ratio for the S&P 500 cut nearly in half due to S&P earnings nearly doubling over the last nine years.  That, to me, represents an enormous reduction in market risk.  A lot of hard work by U.S. companies and their workers produced this rise in earnings, and it has been done with generally careful attention to staying competitive and controlling costs.  I consider that to be a big plus for economic and financial market prospects. Certainly, we have serious problems on some big bank balance sheets because of very poor business decisions.  However, even if mortgage security related write-downs were to rise to a trillion dollars (unlikely in my opinion), the two trillion dollar improvement in the aggregate non-financial company balance sheet over the last nine years provides a huge offset.

And then there is the real world.  Real GDP is up 26% over the last nine years. Employment has increased by 10 million.  Labor productivity, the engine behind real wage gains and staying competitive in the global economy, has increased 26%.  Real after-tax income per capita has increased by 17%.  Even home prices, down lately, are still up 44% from nine years ago.  And real U.S. household net worth is up 20%.  Lost decade, my foot.  I remain guardedly optimistic on U.S. financial market performance and will continue to monitor the economy closely for further signs of recession.  As always, please call me with any questions or concerns.

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult me prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.

Copyright © 2008 MWBoone and Associates All Rights Reserved. MWBoone and Associates is a Registered Investment Advisor Investment Management services are not available through this web site but are described at www.mwboone.com. Securities offered through LPL Financial FINRA/SIPC..

April 04, 2008

Prepare for Your Power Years!

 MWBoone & Associates, LLC, presents: Prepare for Your Power Years. This is a workshop that is aimed at helping you learn how to live your dream.

“I have been helping clients for over two decades and this is the best life planning presentation I have seen
                                                                  
                                                                 
~ Michael W. Boone, CFP, CFA


Today, for the young professional, increased longevity, much higher levels of health and vitality, and the assumption of continued personal growth are redefining this generation’s expectations of this new stage of life. Whether you want to begin or change careers, start a new business, spend more time volunteering, buy a home, or sail around the world, you’ll be better prepared if your finances are in shape. Dreams are driven by cash flow, and luckily time is your greatest ally in planning to fund your dreams.

Learn how to fund for tomorrow’s possibilities, develop a life-stage plan, and discover how to prepare for your Power Years!

For more information, click this link:

http://www.mwboone.com/library/Power_Year_Flyer_6.pdf

Raging Bull: The Technological Sector

There are still many reasons to like Tech, though heightened recession risk warrants some caution. To see these reasons and the rest of the article, please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/library/Raging_Bull_3_18_08.pdf

April 02, 2008

Lincoln Anderson's Economic Update

LPL's Lincoln Anderson has put out another weekly commentary. To see this article, please click on the link below:

http://www.mwboone.com/library/articles/lpl_lincoln_Anderson_4_1_08.pdf

April 01, 2008

Feeling the Real Estate Freeze, Vacation Homes Might Be a Warm Spot

Many of us have taken a vacation and found an idyllic spot where we’d love to retire, spend the weekend or telecommute. Some people have actually bought property spontaneously while on vacation – and while that’s not always a horrible idea, it is better to have a strategy.
Finding a relative bargain on vacation property involves research and a solid knowledge of your own finances. It involves knowing something about the market, too. Some thoughts:

Who else is buying?
  Any real estate purchase involves a market analysis. Don’t assume that just because the residential market’s in trouble that vacation real estate necessarily follows where you’re looking. Keep in mind that in some areas of the country that foreign buyers are a factor thanks to our wheezing dollar. If you like the area and the property, talk to real estate agents, residents and other people who know the town well to see if you can be ahead of the curve in making a purchase. 

Know where your money’s coming from.
There are plenty of people who finance second homes out of the equity from their first home, but given today’s slow real estate market, it’s a risky option. Before you even start looking for a property, think about what a second home purchase will do to your overall financial picture. First determine the impact on your long-term financial plan.  Will you still be able to retire at the same age?  Will you have enough money to educate the kids?  Then look at your lending options.  Many lenders require buyers to put down at least 20 percent on a second home. Keep in mind that your primary home lender may not want to tackle a vacation home mortgage. While you’re planning, clean up your credit first, shop your lending options and get pre-approved first. Above all, get some advice from an expert like a Certified Financial Planner™ professional.

Understand what you’re buying.
Even if you haven’t pinpointed a specific home or condo, you need to understand all the cost and environmental issues of owning property in that community. You need to know appreciation rates on similar properties and if there are plenty of sale signs nearby (do people want out?). You need to know about all the potential environmental risks to your property from hurricanes to mold.

Plan for upkeep:
  An unattended structure is subject to crime as well as wear and tear that can accelerate when owners aren’t present daily. Talk to your insurance agent about insuring out-of-town property. Also, while there are often qualified paid caretakers in vacation communities to help protect and maintain your property, they can be expensive and you need to make sure they’re bonded. Think of anything terrible that can happen to a property and then plan solutions – before you buy. And don’t forget the cost of utilities, telephone, cable, property taxes, etc.  All these upkeep costs often add up to a surprising amount.

Is it a fixer-upper?
Keep in mind that in some resort or vacation areas, property may be landmarked or otherwise legally protected even if it looks like it’s falling down. Before you become convinced you’ve snagged a bargain and you’re dialing a contractor, check with local real estate agents and City Hall to investigate all the possible protections and restrictions on the property you’re examining. 
 
Are you going to rent or occupy? Renting out a vacation home is a good way to cover some of the cost, but lenders often factor in a 25 percent vacancy rate when determining your qualification for the loan. Plus, you have to play landlord with people you may never meet, and that can be risky. Rental property is a business, so treat it as such.

Talk with your tax advisor.
  Vacation homes may or may not offer some tax benefits to you depending on your overall tax situation.  Ask your tax advisor to run the numbers for you.  But don’t make the move for tax reasons alone. If your dream vacation home fits into your financial plan and life and you’ve done your research, it may be time to buy.

March 2008 — This column is produced by the Financial Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial planning community. pyright © 2008 MWBoone and Associates All Rights Reserved. MWBoone and Associates is a Registered Investment Advisor Investment Management services are not available through this web site but are described at www.mwboone.com. Securities offered through LPL Financial Member FINRA/SIPC.